Packard Rankings versus RPI – Basketball Colorado

Last year Basketball Colorado compared and contrasted the RPI and the Packard System hoping to spur talk about how the RPI model could be changed to make it more equitable. Packard uses a different formula and when used as predictor is more right more often than not. 
The Packard Rankings have not been updates since Tuesday so please take that into consideration.




ERIK PACKARD COMPUTER RANKINGS
COLORADO HS BOYS BASKETBALL
2/13/2018
Includes games to 2/12/2018
DIV DRANK    TEAM                   W  L  POWER OVERALL   2/11/18
5A     1  GEORGE WASHINGTON        17  5 172.0      1       1 
5A     2  THUNDERRIDGE             20  1 171.0      2       2 
5A     3  ROCK CANYON              19  1 170.0      3       3 
5A     4  CHAPARRAL                17  4 167.7      4       4 
5A     5  SMOKY HILL               16  5 163.4      5       5 
5A     6  GRANDVIEW                17  4 162.7      6       6 
5A     7  OVERLAND                 12  9 162.5      7       7 
5A     8  DENVER EAST              20  2 162.3      8       8 
5A     9  REGIS                    17  4 154.9      9       9 
5A    10  DOHERTY                  18  4 151.5     10      10 
5A    11  HIGHLANDS RANCH          16  5 148.4     12      12 
5A    12  EAGLECREST               12  9 148.0     13      13 
5A    13  MOUNTAIN VISTA           13  8 144.9     14      15  
5A    14  CHERRY CREEK             12  9 143.0     18      17 
5A    15  LEGEND                   11 10 142.2     19      19 
5A    16  RANGEVIEW                15  6 140.8     20      20 
5A    17  RAMPART                  15  6 140.4     21      21 
5A    18  LIBERTY                  16  6 140.4     22      23 
5A    19  MULLEN                   10 11 139.6     24      24 
5A    20  CHEROKEE TRAIL            9 12 138.4     25      25 
5A    21  BROOMFIELD               14  7 136.6     26      26 
5A    22  DOUGLAS COUNTY           13  7 135.4     27      27 
5A    23  FAIRVIEW                 14  7 133.7     29      29 
5A    24  ARVADA WEST              14  7 131.8     32      32 
5A    25  MOUNTAIN RANGE           13  8 129.7     33      33 
5A    26  BEAR CREEK               13  7 129.6     34      34 
5A    27  ARAPAHOE                  4 17 128.9     38      38 
5A    28  VISTA RIDGE              12  9 128.7     39      39 
5A    29  CASTLE VIEW              12  9 128.4     40      40 
5A    30  FOUNTAIN-FORT CARSON      9 12 128.1     41      42 
5A    31  CHATFIELD                11 10 128.0     42      43 
5A    32  BOULDER                  12  9 127.6     44      44 
5A    33  DAKOTA RIDGE             11 10 127.6     45      45 
5A    34  FOSSIL RIDGE             10 11 127.2     46      46 
5A    35  COLUMBINE                11 10 127.2     47      47 
5A    36  FAR NORTHEAST            14  8 126.3     48      48 
5A    37  DENVER SOUTH             10 10 125.6     50      50 
5A    38  LINCOLN                   9 12 124.9     53      52 
5A    39  MONARCH                  10 11 124.0     54      54 
5A    40  FRUITA                   15  7 123.0     55      56 
5A    41  ROCKY MOUNTAIN            9 12 123.0     56      55 
5A    42  LEGACY                   13  8 122.1     58      58 
5A    43  LAKEWOOD                  6 15 120.3     65      66 
5A    44  HORIZON                  13  8 120.1     66      65 
5A    45  GREELEY WEST             12 10 119.5     68      68 
5A    46  PINE CREEK                8 13 118.2     70      70 
5A    47  BRIGHTON                 12  9 117.9     71      71 
5A    48  PALMER                    7 14 117.7     73      73

Rank	Team	RPI	Record	WP	OWP	OOWP
1	Rock Canyon	0.693	21-1-0	0.955	0.632	0.555
2	ThunderRidge	0.667	21-1-0	0.955	0.579	0.556
3	Denver East	0.663	20-2-0	0.909	0.611	0.520
4	Chaparral	0.662	18-4-0	0.818	0.637	0.557
5	Grandview	0.639	18-4-0	0.818	0.591	0.555
6	Doherty	0.636	18-4-0	0.818	0.589	0.548
7	Overland	0.633	13-9-0	0.591	0.691	0.559
8	Regis Jesuit	0.633	17-5-0	0.773	0.600	0.559
9	George Washington	0.630	17-5-0	0.773	0.600	0.548
10	Rampart	0.619	16-6-0	0.727	0.602	0.544
11	Highlands Ranch	0.612	15-6-0	0.714	0.594	0.547
12	Smoky Hill	0.606	16-6-0	0.727	0.570	0.556
13	Liberty	0.605	17-6-0	0.739	0.566	0.548
14	Mountain Vista	0.598	14-8-0	0.636	0.598	0.559
15	Broomfield	0.578	16-7-0	0.696	0.548	0.519
16	Eaglecrest	0.573	12-9-0	0.571	0.577	0.567
17	Vista Ridge	0.571	13-9-0	0.591	0.574	0.543
18	Rangeview	0.569	15-6-0	0.714	0.521	0.518
19	Fruita Monument	0.569	15-7-0	0.682	0.539	0.514
20	Legend	0.563	12-10-0	0.545	0.579	0.546
21	Fairview	0.559	16-7-0	0.696	0.511	0.520
22	Far Northeast Warriors	0.549	14-8-0	0.636	0.522	0.515
23	Douglas County	0.544	14-8-0	0.636	0.508	0.525
24	Cherry Creek	0.537	12-10-0	0.545	0.520	0.562
25	Cherokee Trail	0.534	9-12-0	0.429	0.571	0.567
26	Fossil Ridge	0.533	12-11-0	0.522	0.545	0.521
27	Mountain Range	0.530	13-9-0	0.591	0.519	0.492
28	Arvada West	0.530	15-8-0	0.652	0.482	0.505
29	Dakota Ridge	0.527	13-10-0	0.565	0.516	0.512
30	Greeley West	0.522	12-11-0	0.522	0.529	0.506
31	Castle View	0.521	12-11-0	0.522	0.516	0.531
32	Lincoln	0.518	10-12-0	0.455	0.554	0.511
33	Brighton	0.517	15-8-0	0.652	0.466	0.484
34	Fountain-Fort Carson	0.513	10-12-0	0.455	0.528	0.540
35	Columbine	0.512	12-10-0	0.545	0.499	0.503
36	Bear Creek	0.510	14-8-0	0.636	0.451	0.502
37	Mullen	0.504	9-12-0	0.429	0.516	0.554
38	Boulder	0.503	12-11-0	0.522	0.490	0.511
39	Denver South	0.502	11-11-0	0.500	0.496	0.517
40	Rocky Mountain	0.501	9-14-0	0.391	0.548	0.516
41	Poudre	0.501	11-12-0	0.478	0.508	0.508
42	Horizon	0.498	14-9-0	0.609	0.444	0.497
43	Monarch	0.497	12-11-0	0.522	0.473	0.519
44	Legacy	0.496	14-9-0	0.609	0.443	0.489
45	Chatfield	0.493	11-11-0	0.500	0.487	0.496
46	Pine Creek	0.490	8-14-0	0.364	0.536	0.525
47	Prairie View	0.474	11-11-0	0.500	0.466	0.461
48	Arapahoe	0.470	4-18-0	0.182	0.572	0.554

4A     1  LONGMONT                 20  1 144.5     15      14 
4A     2  LEWIS-PALMER             19  2 143.3     16      16 
4A     3  PUEBLO SOUTH             19  2 143.3     17      18 
4A     4  GOLDEN                   18  3 140.4     23      22 
4A     5  VALOR CHRISTIAN          14  7 134.3     28      28 
4A     6  FALCON                   16  5 132.6     30      30 
4A     7  WIDEFIELD                17  4 132.6     31      31 
4A     8  MESA RIDGE               14  6 129.6     35      35 
4A     9  PUEBLO WEST              15  6 129.3     36      36 
4A    10  EVERGREEN                17  4 129.2     37      37 
4A    11  SILVER CREEK             18  4 127.6     43      41 
4A    12  WINDSOR                  15  6 126.0     49      49 
4A    13  VISTA PEAK               12  9 125.0     52      53 
4A    14  HOLY FAMILY              13  8 122.5     57      57 
4A    15  PONDEROSA                13  8 122.1     59      59 
4A    16  PALMER RIDGE             14  7 122.0     60      60 
4A    17  MEAD                     13  8 121.9     61      61 
4A    18  D'EVELYN                 11 10 121.7     62      63 
4A    19  THOMAS JEFFERSON         12  9 121.6     63      62 
4A    20  ELIZABETH                13  7 121.5     64      64 
4A    21  SIERRA                   12 10 119.8     67      67 
4A    22  CLASSICAL ACADEMY        14  7 118.9     69      69 
4A    23  GLENWOOD SPRINGS         18  4 117.8     72      72 
4A    24  THOMPSON VALLEY          15  6 117.4     74      75 
4A    25  ROOSEVELT                14  7 117.2     75      74 
4A    26  CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN         9 12 114.9     78      78 
4A    27  PUEBLO EAST              13  8 113.0     83      84 
4A    28  MONTROSE                 15  6 112.7     85      86 
4A    29  MOUNTAIN VIEW            11 11 112.5     87      91 
4A    30  GREELEY CENTRAL          10 12 112.4     88      83 
4A    31  ERIE                     11 10 112.2     91      88 
4A    32  DISCOVERY CANYON         10 11 111.6     93      93 
4A    33  SKYVIEW                  14  7 110.7     95      95 
4A    34  FORT MORGAN              10 11 110.0     98      98 
4A    35  STANDLEY LAKE             9 12 109.5    100     100 
4A    36  AIR ACADEMY               9 12 108.6    102     102 
4A    37  HARRISON                  8 13 108.1    104     104 
4A    38  PUEBLO CENTRAL            7 14 107.7    105     105 
4A    39  PUEBLO COUNTY            10 11 107.3    107     107 
4A    40  STEAMBOAT SPRINGS        12  9 107.0    109     109 
4A    41  CENTAURUS                 7 14 105.1    112     111 
4A    42  WOODLAND PARK            10 12 104.3    115     115 
4A    43  GREEN MOUNTAIN            8 13 103.9    116     117 
4A    44  NORTHRIDGE                5 17 103.9    117     116 
4A    45  CONIFER                  11 11 102.6    118     119 
4A    46  WHEAT RIDGE               5 15 102.3    119     118  
4A    47  BERTHOUD                  6 14 102.1    122     120 
4A    48  BATTLE MOUNTAIN          11  9 101.9    123     123

Rank	Team	RPI	Record	WP	OWP	OOWP
1	Golden	0.655	20-3-0	0.870	0.612	0.527
2	Pueblo South	0.654	20-2-0	0.909	0.585	0.536
3	Lewis-Palmer	0.653	20-2-0	0.909	0.579	0.545
4	Longmont	0.621	21-1-0	0.955	0.511	0.508
5	Falcon	0.610	17-5-0	0.773	0.564	0.540
6	Pueblo West	0.595	16-6-0	0.727	0.560	0.534
7	Silver Creek	0.587	19-4-0	0.826	0.511	0.500
8	Evergreen	0.583	18-5-0	0.783	0.510	0.528
9	Valor Christian	0.582	15-8-0	0.652	0.569	0.536
10	Widefield	0.580	19-4-0	0.826	0.493	0.510
11	Glenwood Springs	0.572	19-4-0	0.826	0.473	0.518
12	Montrose	0.569	15-6-0	0.714	0.523	0.515
13	Windsor	0.567	15-6-0	0.714	0.519	0.515
14	D’Evelyn	0.566	12-11-0	0.522	0.606	0.529
15	Elizabeth	0.565	15-7-0	0.682	0.538	0.502
16	Palmer Ridge	0.559	15-7-0	0.682	0.508	0.539
17	Ponderosa	0.558	13-9-0	0.591	0.550	0.540
18	Roosevelt	0.553	15-7-0	0.682	0.514	0.502
19	Mead	0.548	13-9-0	0.591	0.543	0.515
20	Steamboat Springs	0.546	14-9-0	0.609	0.539	0.496
21	Holy Family	0.543	14-8-0	0.636	0.511	0.516
22	Mesa Ridge	0.542	16-7-0	0.696	0.482	0.507
23	Vista PEAK Prep	0.534	13-9-0	0.591	0.526	0.491
24	The Classical Academy	0.533	15-8-0	0.652	0.489	0.503
25	Thomas Jefferson	0.530	12-10-0	0.545	0.534	0.509
26	Cheyenne Mountain	0.529	9-13-0	0.409	0.586	0.535
27	Battle Mountain	0.528	12-9-0	0.571	0.525	0.489
28	Fort Morgan	0.517	12-11-0	0.522	0.534	0.478
29	Mountain View	0.517	12-11-0	0.522	0.524	0.500
30	Pueblo East	0.515	12-9-0	0.571	0.483	0.525
31	Thompson Valley	0.515	14-7-0	0.667	0.444	0.504
32	Pueblo County	0.510	10-12-0	0.455	0.531	0.524
33	Sierra	0.506	12-11-0	0.522	0.498	0.507
34	Pueblo Central	0.503	8-14-0	0.364	0.563	0.521
35	Kennedy	0.497	13-9-0	0.591	0.459	0.480
36	Air Academy	0.496	9-13-0	0.409	0.523	0.528
37	Discovery Canyon	0.495	10-12-0	0.455	0.499	0.529
38	Greeley Central	0.493	10-13-0	0.435	0.519	0.501
39	Standley Lake	0.490	10-13-0	0.435	0.508	0.512
40	Erie	0.490	11-11-0	0.500	0.479	0.501
41	Conifer	0.488	12-11-0	0.522	0.471	0.486
42	Skyview	0.487	15-7-0	0.682	0.395	0.477
43	Littleton	0.471	8-15-0	0.348	0.509	0.517
44	Green Mountain	0.470	9-14-0	0.391	0.480	0.531
45	Wheat Ridge	0.464	6-16-0	0.273	0.532	0.521
46	Harrison	0.462	9-14-0	0.391	0.476	0.505
47	Woodland Park	0.451	10-13-0	0.435	0.435	0.498
48	Summit	0.449	10-13-0	0.435	0.435	0.492

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